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Segment Where the Interaction Persists

A technical report on a two-stage architecture for revenue-optimal ad impression allocation in operator-run mobile advertising: offline predictive modeling and linear-programming allocation planning, online table-driven decisioning with pacing, and a closed feedback loop.

Contents

File Description
index.html The paper (GitHub Pages index)
paper.pdf PDF rendering of the paper
alloc_sim.py Monte-Carlo simulation comparing greedy serving with LP-planned allocation (Section 7 of the paper)

Reproducing the simulation

pip install numpy scipy
python alloc_sim.py

Twenty replications of a synthetic market (60 audience segments, 25 campaigns, ~200,000 impressions per run). The planned policy achieves a mean 6.5% revenue lift and 33% expected-click lift over greedy serving on identical event streams, capturing 94% of the hindsight offline optimum. The harness verifies both policies against the hindsight bound in every replication and includes a uniform-probability control whose measured lift is zero.

Real-log replay (Sections 4-6 of the paper)

h2_replay.py reconstructs an allocation market (with quota-stress, re-solved-plan, and tuned/warm dual-price policies) from the public Taobao display-ad dataset (Tianchi dataset 56 / Kaggle mirror) and replays greedy, LP-planned, and dual-price pacing policies under walk-forward dual-model scoring; h2_errorbars.py and h2_wf_analyze.py compute the closed-form error bars and fold-combined statistics; h2_cluster_boot.py runs the user-clustered bootstrap and h2_matched_action.py the matched-action outcome bracket reported in the paper.

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Technical report on revenue-optimal ad impression allocation for operator-run mobile advertising, with Monte-Carlo simulation evidence

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